A large coastal storm parked off the northeast coast will only drift slightly northward over the next few days, and it will send several disturbances and moisture into the Capital Region, bringing scattered light snow showers and flurries through Wednesday night. Temperatures will remain near or slightly below seasonable levels into the weekend, when we turn our attention to a potential Christmas weekend snowstorm.
Here is the complete forecast for Albany and the Capital Region of upstate New York:
TODAY – Some scattered snow showers and flurries this morning will end and skies will become mostly cloudy by this afternoon as things begin to dry out. High temperatures will be around 30 degrees, with a brisk northwest wind at 10 to 15 mph.
WEDNESDAY – Skies will remain mostly cloudy with another piece of energy poised to rotate around the coastal storm and into the region by Wednesday afternoon. Expect scattered light snow showers and flurries across the Capital Region, with the greatest chances across northeastern parts of the area. A light coating to an inch of accumulation will be possible in a few areas. High temperatures will reach the lower 30’s with a north wind at 10 mph.
THURSDAY – Any leftover snow showers will be ending by Thursday morning, with drier conditions for the afternoon under mostly cloudy skies. High temperatures will be seasonably cool in the lower 30’s.
OUTLOOK – A weak area of high pressure will build in on Thursday night and remain over the region into Friday. Skies will be mostly sunny on Friday afternoon with high temperatures near 30 degrees. A chilly north-northwesterly flow of air will remain over the Capital Region keeping things rather cold. The forecast gets difficult into the weekend as a storm system moves out of the Tennessee Valley, reforms off the North Carolina coastline, and then moves northeastward up the coast.
Computer forecast models and ensembles are not in agreement on an exact track of this low pressure, but it could have huge implications on the weather in the Capital Region by Sunday. Computer forecast models are also not in agreement on the time of arrival of precipitation, but it appears that Sunday will be the main impact day, with lingering effects into Monday as the storm slowly pulls away. Other disagreement is on the strength of the low pressure, which could deepen rapidly off the coast and send heavy snowfall inland. It appears that the heaviest axis of snowfall could end up being right over the Capital Region of just east in western New England, but this is certainly not set in stone. Over the next several days, the computer models will come into better agreement so stay tuned, and be prepared for the potential on Sunday for a snowstorm to severely impact Christmas travel plans across the northeast.
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