Well below average temperatures continue on this Tuesday, but it is the persistent winds that are making it feel brutally cold out there. Once again we will see temperatures only getting into the low-mid 30s for highs today with winds gusting to 30 mph making it feel like it is in the 20s. There are also still plenty of clouds and widely scattered flurries around the storm system in southeast Canada that is finally beginning to pull away. Winds will continue to weaken as we head through the day Wednesday with less cloud cover, and high pressure will move over the region for Thursday with continued highs in the mid-30s. With less winds and cloud cover, our overnight lows on Wednesday night and Thursday night will be able to drop into the low 20s and upper 10s in the suburbs especially.
Cold high pressure will move offshore on Friday as a weak clipper moves by to our north. We will see southerly winds return and as a result the cold air in place will begin to erode. There is a slight chance for some snow/rain showers during the day on Friday as this storm passes by. Any precipitation amounts will be very light and there would be no snow accumulation with highs getting to near 40. Temperatures will continue to warm on Saturday with highs in the low-mid 40s (which is about average for this time of year by the way) ahead of our next major storm system.
This next major storm system for Sunday-Tuesday of next week is looking inevitably like a rainstorm for New Jersey. With the cold pattern relaxing, we are also seeing too great of a shift in the north Atlantic weather pattern by the time this storm arrives, and this will allow the storm center to move over us or a few hundred miles to the west of us. Along with the fact that there will not be a cold high pressure to our northwest supplying the flow of cold air, this track means southeast winds off the warm Atlantic and hence rain for the coastal plain of the northeast. A major snowstorm is in order for either the Midwest or the interior northeast, however, and exactly where is still very much in question. Although still 5-6 days out, there would have to be some major changes in the overall pattern to bring a significant snowstorm to the coast, and I can’t really see that happening. At best, a shift east with the track could bring a period of snow/ice to start for an area like northwest Jersey that would change to rain, or perhaps a change to snow on the back end of the storm. There will be plenty of updates on this in the coming days, but for now it is definitely looking more wet than white in the Garden state.
Behind this major storm, another shot of very cold air looks to settle into the area for several days. It once again could be very windy to worsen this cold as well. We will see what happens as far as any snow threats as we get closer, however, early signs show a generally dry, cold pattern once again in this time period.