Hurricane Tomas is passing between southwestern Haiti and Southeastern Cuba at this time. Hurricane Tomas is moving towards the north-northeast at 12 mph and is expected to maintain that track for the next couple of days, and we should see a steady increase in forward speed as Tomas makes his way into the southeastern Bahamas.
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The National Hurricane Center has reported the maximum sustained winds in Hurricane Tomas are 85 mph, making Tomas a category one hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson wind scale. Tomas finds himself in a very good environment for the next 24 hours with low shear and high water temperatures. Tomas could strengthen some more over the next day, but after that Hurricane Tomas will be in an environment of high wind shear and cooler water temperatures and we should see a steady decrease in strength starting Saturday.
Computer models are in good agreement with the future track and intensity of Tomas over the next 3 days. Hurricane Tomas should still be a hurricane east of the Bahamas by Sunday. Regardless of path and strength this system will bring very heavy rains and strong winds to the already ravaged country of Haiti. They can expect life-threatening flash floods and mudslides for the next couple of days. The water system in Haiti is already contaminated with cholera, and heavy rains will only make matters worse.
…CENTER OF TOMAS NOW PASSING BETWEEN HAITI AND SOUTHEASTERN
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
ABOUT 90 MI…150 KM SE OF GUANTANAMO CUBA
ABOUT 140 MI…230 KM WNW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…85 MPH…140 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 12 MPH…19 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…987 MB…29.15 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY…
THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR JAMAICA.
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS…INCLUDING CAT ISLAND…THE EXUMAS…LONG
ISLAND…RUM CAY…AND SAN SALVADOR.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS…AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND HOLGUIN
* THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI
BORDER EASTWARD TO BARAHONA
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA…IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24
HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA…IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE
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Hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30 with about 80% of tropical storms and hurricanes developing during August, September, and October. In a typical year, 11 named storms develop and 6 of these become hurricanes.
Tropical Cyclone Categories:
-Tropical Depression 20 knots/23 mph
-Tropical Storm 34 knots/39 mph
-Category 1 Hurricane 64 knots/74 mph
-Category 2 Hurricane 84 knots/96 mph
-Category 3 Hurricane 97 knots/111 mph
-Category 4 Hurricane 114 knots/131 mph
-Category 5 Hurricane 136 knots/156 mph
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