It is certainly looking very interesting for Christmas weekend across the midlands of South Carolina. The potential is there for accumulating snowfall.
For the shorterm, A cold front will move through the area today. Clouds will slowly decrease as the morning continues. Skies should become mostly sunny by later in the afternoon with highs around 60 degrees. Depending on the amount of sunshine we see this afternoon will determine if we climb into the lower 60s. There could be some mid 60s across the southern midlands. The average high is 58, so we will be close to average for a change!
Cooler air will move into the forecast area tonight. Mostly clear skies is expected overnight with lows mainly in the lower to mid 30s. Thursday will be a little cooler with sunny skies and afternoon temperatures in the lower to mid 50s.
Friday starts out chilly with morning lows in the upper 20s. Clouds will increase by later in the afternoon with our next approaching storm system. Highs are expected to be once again in the lower to mid 50s.
Getting back to the potential accumulating snow on Christmas weekend… Models are continue to trend the next storm well to the south, which puts the forecast area in good favor for wintry precipitation.
Models have a low pressure system developing over the nothern Gulf of Mexico, crossing over Nothern Florida and then off the southeast coast.
Many changes occured overnight. The late-night run of the GFS model showed a southern storm track, however, light precipitation. The latest Canadian run shows light precipitation as well. The early-morning run of the European model continues to show consistency of a major event unfolding across the forecast area and for the Mid-Atlantic states. This model literally buries the forecast area with inches of snow. However, it is the only model that shows a heavy amount of precipitation.
My best guess right now is that we would see rain or a wintry mix very late in the day on Christmas, then changeover to snow by Christmas Night, and possibly continuing into early Sunday morning.
Please keep in mind while all signs point to a wintry-type solution, it is not craved in stone yet. Please stay tuned for further updates.
After the storm system pushes away from the area, it turns windy and much colder for Sunday and the beginning of next week.
…GREATER COLUMBIA AREA FORECAST…
TODAY… Mostly cloudy with areas of fog in the morning. Gradual clearing in the afternoon. Highs around 60. Winds West-Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
TONIGHT… Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Winds North 5 to 10 mph.
THURSDAY… Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Winds North 5 to 10 mph.
THURSDAY NIGHT… Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s, Winds North 5 to 10 mph.
FRIDAY… Mostly sunny in the morning. Becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 50s. Winds Northwest around 5 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT… Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.
CHRISTMAS DAY… Cloudy in the morning. A chance of rain, sleet, and snow by late afternoon. Colder with highs in the lower 40s.
SATURDAY NIGHT… Snow possible. A chance of rain and sleet. Lows in the upper 20s.
SUNDAY… Morning snow possible. A chance of rain and sleet. Windy and cold with highs in the mid to upper 30s.
MONDAY… Mostly sunny and cold. Lows in the lower 20s, Highs in the lower 40s.
TUESDAY… Mostly sunny. Lows in the lower 20s, Highs in the mid 40s.
WEDNESDAY… Mostly sunny. Lows in the lower 20s, Highs in the mid 40s.